by Martin Schram
For what seems like forever, America’s presidents have been ordering up new U.S. policies designed to finally fix, or at least make the best of, the old and perpetual crises in Afghanistan.
And sooner or later, each optimistic U.S. president has discovered that even the best-intentioned Afghan fixer-upper ended up looking like it had been cobbled together by his departments of Unforeseen Developments & Unintended Consequences.
This week, President Joe Biden, who probably spent more eras grappling with Afghanistan than all other modern presidents combined, has been seeing military and diplomatic info that seems to be warning him that, despite all his experience and optimism, he may be joining that exclusive club of commanders-in-chief who produced woebegone Afghanistan outcomes.
On Wednesday, Washington’s policymakers awoke to a warning-siren blaring from the upper-right corner of The New York Times’ front page. A news article reported that Biden’s administration and NATO intend to have their troops withdrawn from Afghanistan by early to mid-July; that’s later than Trump’s pledge to withdraw totally by May 1, but well ahead of Biden’s pledge to be gone by Sept. 11.
“The Pentagon still has not determined how it will combat terrorist threats like Al Qaeda from afar after American troops leave,” The Times reported. “Nor have top Defense Department officials secured agreement from allies about repositioning American troops in other nearby countries. … The rapid withdrawal has exposed a variety of complex problems that have yet to be resolved and are provoking intense concern.”
We know well what to expect (see also: What to fear) if the Taliban re-conquer Afghanistan. When The Washington Post’s Lally Weymouth asked Afghanistan President Ashraf Ghani about the Taliban’s subjugation of women, including assassination attempts on women journalists in Kabul, the Afghan president explained how and why the Taliban’s followers accept such horrific acts against women:
“They’ve grown up outside normal families in madrassas in the absence of women, so women have been construed as a threat to them.”
President Ghani may not realize it — and indeed President Biden and his best and brightest may not either — but there’s an unbelievably wacky, yet entirely true, backstory behind just how the United States played a once-secret role in the molding of the young men in Afghanistan’s madrassas, those rigidly Islamic schools. It happened two decades before America powerfully invaded the Taliban-run Afghanistan from which al-Qaida planned its terror attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.
President Ronald Reagan’s administration developed a plan to stealthily promote freedom-fighter militarism among Afghanistan’s Islamic youths, hoping they would someday rise up and run the godless Soviet communist troops out of their country. So the Reagan administration planned to flood rural Afghanistan’s madrassas with millions of schoolbooks preaching and teaching Islamic militancy. The U.S. Agency for International Development gave $51 million in grants to the University of Nebraska Omaha’s Center for Afghan Studies. Soon young Islamic boys were learning math by counting pictures of soldiers, tanks, guns and land mines.
And lo, the Soviets wound up wasting a vast fortune in a failed war to control Afghanistan. President Bill Clinton’s administration canceled the program in 1994. And we didn’t even find out about it until The Washington Post wrote about it in 2002.
Those militant young Afghan boys in the mid-1980s were men in their 20s and 30s when the Taliban was ruling Afghanistan and giving Osama bin Laden’s al-Qaida the sanctuary from which they attacked America’s homeland, half a world away.
Time out! President Biden would be wise to slow his rushed withdrawal, which is now just a slightly recalibrated version of Donald Trump’s withdrawal from this 20-year war, America’s longest-ever conflict. Biden will regret it forever if the Taliban takes control and subjugates women once again — and if the Taliban gives terrorists sanctuary once again.
If both of those foreseen but unintended outcomes happen, history will judge him harshly. And accurately.
Martin Schram, an op-ed columnist for Tribune News Service, is a veteran Washington journalist, author and TV documentary executive. Readers may email him at martin.schram@gmail.com.
